Archive | May, 2012

French Open Predictions for June 1, 2012

31 May

Predicted Winners in BOLD

1 Novak Djokovic vs. Nicolas Devilder – Faustian bargain or not for Nicolas, I think Djokovic will overcome the diminutive Devilder in 3 sets.

22 Andreas Seppi vs. 14 Fernando Verdasco – I think Verdasco is favored, but Verdasco, like Gasquet, can lose when no one would expect it.  Seppi is good enough to hang around and grind out a win unless Verdasco is mentally sharp.

11 Gilles Simon vs. 18 Stanislas Wawrinka – I think Simon in France finds a way.  Wawrinka could overpower Gilles, but my guess is Simon grinds and retrieves enough shots to draw out errors from the #2 Swiss.

Fabio Fognini vs. 5 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga – It is odd for Tsonga to be seeded so highly, but he really piled up points from the outset of the grass court season in 2011 through the season finale in London.  I am torn as I think Tsonga could lose here.

3 Roger Federer vs. Nicolas Mahut – Fed’s draw to the round of 16 looked somewhat tough, but the path has cleared.  Federer wins in a routine match.

David Goffin vs. Lukasz Kubot – (Honestly, did anyone pick these two to meet?) I was going to pick Goffin here, but he did play the qualifying draw and his legs may be shot.  Both have a great chance to reach the final 16.

9 Juan Martin del Potro vs. 21 Marin Cilic – As I said earlier, Delpo has a mental edge against Cilic.

31 Kevin Anderson vs. 7 Tomas Berdych – Outside of the top 3 seeds, Berdych and Delpo are the next most likely players to hold the trophy when the clay settles.

Big Man Tennis: JMDP vs. Cilic & Berdych vs. Anderson

31 May

Big Man Bracket

We know that at least one of the eight quarterfinalists at the 2012 French Open will be at least 6’5″ or 196 cm tall.  Juan Martin del Potro faces Marin Cilic in the round of 32.  Both Delpo and Cilic are 6’6″ or 198 cm tall.  This looked like a promising rivalry after the 2009 US Open and 2010 Australian Open in which each man eliminated the other.  Delpo got hurt, and 2010 became a wash for him.  His solid 2011 results helped to re-establish Delpo as a threat on tour, and 2012 has continued his comeback story.  Cilic has been an enigma.  His game seems quite sound, but the second half of 2010 and all of 2011 were pretty mediocre for the Croatian.  Cilic has shown signs of life in 2012.  This rivalry has not become Wilt vs. Russell for tennis, but it still has potential to be good.  My guess is Delpo advances to the round of 16 with a four set win.  Juan Martin del Potro is one of the most mentally tough players on tour, and that should be enough to advance versus Cilic.

Kevin Anderson is 6’8″ or 203 cm tall.  He will face the diminutive 6’5″ 0r 195 cm Tomas Berdych.  Anderson has done quite well to reach the third round on a slow surface as he plays the most overtly aggressive style of tennis of these four big men.  Still, Berdych is playing maybe the fourth or fifth best clay court tennis in the world at the moment.  I expect Berdych will advances to face Delpo in a red rematch of their blue Madrid semifinal.

Based on form, Berdych will reach the quarterfinal round with a win over Juan Martin del Potro.  Still, I want to see their form in their round of 32 matches before giving a definitive pick for the round of 16.

While the big man takeover that some predicted after the 2009 US Open has never taken place, it is interesting to note that Anderson is the lowest ranked of this foursome as the world’s 34th best player.  John Isner has had some big Davis Cup moments in 2012.  Maybe the ideal height for tennis is shifting upward even if it has not done so in the dramatic fashion many expected after 2009.

Quick Update on Roland Garros Coverage

30 May

Dear readers,

I have not made as many posts as I would normally make given that this is day 4 of the year’s second major, but my day job as a teacher is fairly hectic at this exact time of year.  Things become more manageable tomorrow, and you should see more posts in the coming days.

Thanks,

Dan Martin

PS – Gilles Simon exacting some revenge for his Davis Cup loss to John Isner with two wins over US players.  Still, Brian Baker’s story is one that I just hope continues for several more years.

Roger and Serena Make History

30 May

Roger’s The One

Roger Federer’s four set win today gives him sole possession of holding the most men’s Grand Slam singles match wins in the open era.  His first round match allowed Federer to tie Jimmy Connors for the honor.  I would not make too much of this record.  Many players routinely skipped the Australian Open.  Connors played the event just two times in his career.  Jimbo also skipped the French Open for a period of years.  Also, it makes sense that the man with the most Grand Slam titles would be at the top of the match win totals as his career progresses.  Jimmy did win his first round match at the 1992 US Open when he was 40 years of age.  For Federer to surpass him at 30, is no easy task.  Still, Federer likely cares more about winning a seventeenth major much more than he does this record.

Roger Federer’s first match at the French Open (a loss to Patrick Rafter who had apparently just finished a cameo on Baywatch)

Serena: 46-1

Serena Williams’ loss reminds me that tour veterans often get tighter as their career advances.  Serena locked up mentally after failing to close out the match in straight sets.  As a tennis player, I know what it is like to see a lead slip away at a park or junior tournament.  It feels awful to put it politely.  To magnify those stakes by an exponential amount begins to explain what Serena and others on the pro tours face.  Professional athletes tend to handle these situations incredibly well.  Sometimes they do not.  I think Serena has proven she can still win tennis’ biggest prizes during this clay season despite this early exit.  I think she will bring home at least one big prize at either Wimbledon or the London Olympics.

Down goes Williams

30 May

Reblogged from TheSportsKraze:

Click to visit the original post

By Josh Kramer

There are few certainties in this life.  Death, taxes, and Serena Williams advancing past the opening round of Grand Slam events.  Yesterday, the three certainties in life were diminished to two, when  the unthinkable happened.  In an upset bordering the level of Buster Douglas over Mike Tyson, little-known Virginie Razzano turned the tennis world upside down.  Down a set and 5-1 in the second set tiebreaker, it appeared the most dominant female tennis player of our generation would move to 47 and 0 in the first round of Grand Slam events. 

Read more… 412 more words

Link for viewing the NCAA Tennis Championships

28 May

Watch NCAA Tennis by following this link:

http://www.ncaa.com/liveschedule

Good luck to Eric Quigley of the University of Kentucky and Pee Wee Valley, KY – Just outside of Louisville on I-71

I will be posting some French Open thoughts this evening.

The Pyrenees Are No More – Spain’s Domination of Roland Garros

25 May

Louis XIV once said, “The Pyrenees are no more.”  This sparked military conflict as the prospect of Spain and France being ruled by the same person was intolerable for the rest of Europe.  Starting in 1993, Spain reversed King Louis’ notions and erased the Pyrenees in favor of Spanish rule.

Wertheim’s Mailbag

Jon Wertheim’s mailbag this week included a question regarding why French fans are slow to cheer for Nadal despite his stellar play.  Wertheim offered a number of potential reasons for this phenomenon that all seem plausible.  His answers range from Uncle Toni taking a shot or two at French fans to the banana choking incident in 2006 to the French just loving an underdog.  I’d like to add that the neighborly rivalry between France and Spain has a lot of French tennis fans wondering why and how Spain has produced so many Grand Slam champions in the men’s event while France has not had a male Grand Slam winner since 1983.

The Reign of Spain

Arantxa Sanchez Vicario is a part of this story, but Amelie Mauresmo’s much more recent two Grand Slam singles titles make the female balance tilt toward France.  So I will nod toward Arantxa’s improbable 1989 French Open crown, two other French Open titles as well as the facilities built for the 1992 Barcelona Olympics as sparking a tennis revolution in Spain.  Still, Spain’s reign on the male side of the draw began in 1993.

Consider the following:

1993 – Sergi Bruguera Roland Garros Champion

1994 – Sergi Bruguera Roland Garros Champion, Alberto Berasategui – Finalist

1997 – Sergi Bruguera – Finalist

1998 – Carlos Moya – Roland Garros Champion, Alex Corretja – Finalist

2001 – Alex Corretja – Finalist

2002 – Albert Costa – Roland Garros Champion, Juan Carlos Ferrero – Finalist

2003 – Juan Carlos Ferrero – Roland Garros Champion

2005 – 2008, 2010, 2011 Rafael Nadal – Roland Garros Champion

From 1993 – 2011 Spain has produced 11 French Open Champions in the Men’s Event

From 1993-2011 Spain has produced 5 French Open second place finishes as well

France in that time has not produced a single male finalist.  Gael Monfils’ 2008 four set loss to a less than sharp Roger Federer is about as good as it has been for France during Spain’s conquest (Yes, Cedric Pioline reached the semifinal round in 1998, but the other three semifinalists were Spanish).  I think this contributes to Nadal not being embraced.  Then again, I have never been one to root for a player based upon nationality so it could have nothing to do with this phenomenon.

Who Will Win the 2012 Women’s French Open?

25 May

Who Will Win the 2012 Men’s French Open Title?

25 May

Should I Add Advertisements to Tennis Abides?

21 May

I won’t do it unless they are for tennis products only, but I am still not sure.

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