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Olympic Tennis Review: 2004 Chile Came to Play

28 Jul

2004 saw the the Olympic games once again fall between Wimbledon and the US Open.  Much like the Atlanta games these games were held on a similar hard court surface to that of the US Open.  This was more desirable than the red clay of the 1992 games, but the games being in Athens meant that participants would travel from North American events in Canada and Cincinnati to Athens and then back to New York to finish the hard court season.

The Women Again Hold Form

The women’s tennis events in the Olympic games have produced a lot of top quality champions.  2004 was no exception.  Justine Henin won the gold medal by defeating Amelie Mauresmo 6-3, 6-3.  Henin won the 2003 French Open and US Open along with the 2004 Australian Open.  Injuries derailed Henin for much of the remainder of 2004, but this gold medal was a nice post-injury prize.  Li Ting and Sun Tiantian won the gold in doubles for China.  The importance of  tennis’ growth in China cannot be overstated.  Conchita Martinez won another medal in doubles by picking up the silver with Virginia Ruano Pascual.

Massu Goes Gonzo and Wins 2 Golds

After Wimbledon 2004 ended, Roger Federer stood as a 3 time major champion, but Andy Roddick had made a strong effort in his 4 set loss to Federer.  Roddick’s gains by attacking the net at Wimbledon were blunted after Federer beat Roddick routinely to take the Masters Series Canada title.  It appeared that the surprise tactic would not have lasting repercussions for their rivalry.  Still, most people would have expected either Federer or Roddick if not both to medal in 2004.  Instead, Chile dominated the games.  Nicolas Massu won the gold medal in singles by defeating Mardy Fish in an epic match 6-3, 3-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 .  Fernando Gonzalez took Roddick out en route to the medal rounds and won the bronze medal by beating Taylor Dent 6-4, 2-6, 16-14 (30 game deciding set!).  Two medals for Chile would not be enough as Gonzo and Massu took the gold in doubles as well by defeating Nicolas Kiefer and 2003 Australian Open runner-up Rainer Schuttler in another marathon 6-2, 4-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-4.  The Chilean players also upset the Bryan twins in straight sets en route to the medal round.  Given that Massu never won another hard court event in his career and that he and Gonzo were not exactly doubles specialists, these victories appear to be a bit miraculous.  5 set finals in singles and doubles plus an excellent bronze medal match gave Chilean tennis a week for the ages.  Mario Ancic and Ivan Ljubicic took the bronze medal home for Croatia in doubles.

Final Verdict – An Ambiguous Games

While the men’s results in 2004 were as odd as they were in 1992, the idea of Olympic tennis had grown on the tour and top players seemed committed to the process in a manner that the top players of 1992 lacked.  Women’s singles had produced gold medalists of Graf, Capriati, Davenport, Venus Williams and Henin in the 4 modern era games for tennis.  Still, it would not be until 2008 that both the men and women put forth truly compelling results.

Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Round of 16 Predictions

1 Jul

Predicted Winners in BOLD

Monday, 2 July, 2012

Singles – Fourth Round

[1] N Djokovic (SRB) vs V Troicki (SRB)

Nole should reign supreme in this battle of Serbian contenders.

[3] R Federer (SUI) vs X Malisse (BEL)

Malisse is a tricky veteran.  The youthful Federer lost to Tommy Haas when he last faced a similar older player.  Still, the six-time champion should advance.

[16] M Cilic (CRO) vs [4] A Murray (GBR)

This match could be tricky for Murray.  Cilic beat him at the 2009 US Open and played Murray reasonably tough at the 2010 Australian Open.  Cilic won Queen’s Club.  Still, Murray has to be favored here.  I give Cilic a 35% chance of shocking the world.

[5] J Tsonga (FRA) vs [10] M Fish (USA)

Fish lost  heartbreaking match vs. Tsonga at the 2011 US Open.  He could get payback here, but I think Tsonga is co-favorite along with Murray in the bottom half of the draw.

[7] D Ferrer (ESP) vs [9] J del Potro (ARG)

Delpo seems to have figured out grass his solid outing vs. Rafa in 2011 and his form to this point.  JMDP could be a dark horse to take the title.

[18] R Gasquet (FRA) vs [31] F Mayer (GER)

Florian Mayer has played quite well over the past 18 months.  He could win this match.  Gasquet seems to have found the consistency that his career has generally lacked.  I will take Mr. Backhand to advance.

D Istomin (UZB) vs [26] M Youzhny (RUS)

This is a 50-50 match in my mind.  Youzhny’s variety is why I am picking him to advance.

[Q] B Baker (USA) vs [27] P Kohlschreiber (GER)

I am tempted to take Baker here as he is playing great tennis.  Kohlschreiber is one of the players who benefits most from a shift to grass courts.  His game has so much variety that he could be a threat for the final four due to Rafa’s early exit.  I think Kohlschreiber’s 2011 title at Halle helps him hold his nerve a bit better in the second week of a slam that Baker.

Youtube Tennis for the Week of 4-15 through 4-21-2012

16 Apr

1. 

Great Backhands

2. 

Isner Highlights vs. Nole

3. 

The man of the hour Juan Monaco ends this week’s selected highlights

Morocco and Houston Predictions for 4-12-2012

12 Apr

Predicted Winner in BOLD

C = Correct, X = Incorrect

Grand Prix Hassan II – Morocco

Second Round

Pablo Andujar (3) vs. Potito Starace – This is not an easy match to predict, but  will take Andujar to advance.

Florian Mayer (1) vs. Jeremy Chardy – Chardy has a big future right?  Beating the number one seed would say something, but I do worry some about his mobility and stamina.  I will take Mayer.  X - Another incorrect pick in this tournament.  This was a good win for Chardy.

Lamine Ouahab vs. Sergio Gutierrez-Ferrol – This is a guess.

Albert Ramos (7) vs. Victor Hanescu – This match could go either way, but I think Ramos will win.  C – I have one right at least.

Daily Total (Thus Far): Correct – 1, Incorrect – 1

Tournament Total: Correct - 6, Incorrect - 7

U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championship – Houston

Second Round

Bobby Reynolds vs. Ryan Sweeting – Sweeting has the pressure of defending points in Houston, but I think Ryan will win.  C

John Isner (2) vs. Horacio Zeballos – Isner should maintain some momentum from his Davis Cup wins.  C

Mardy Fish (1) vs. Michael Russell – I’d love to pick Russell, but I think Fish’s live arm will give him more opportunities to end points than Russell will have.  Fish’s serve and backhand are world class.  So long as his forehand stays on the grid, Fish should win.  X – Russell crushed Fish.

Juan Monaco (4) vs. Tatsuma Ito – I expect for Monaco to build on the  momentum he gained in Miami.  C

Igor Kunitsyn vs. Ryan Harrison – Harrison was pretty shaky in his first round match and absorbed two losses in Davis Cup.  I think he is still learning how to play on clay at this level.  X – My Morocco picks are bleeding into Houston.

Kevin Anderson (5) vs. Sam Querrey – Sam Querrey needs good results and this is a winnable match.  Both players have big serves.  If Sam can get into a typical clay court match, his ground game should be strong enough to advance.  X – This match was extremely close, but Anderson got it done.

Daily Total (thus far): Correct – 3, Incorrect – 3

Tournament Total: Correct – 15, Incorrect – 5

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