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French Open Memories: Steffi Graf 1987-1989

7 May

My first distinct tennis memories are matches between Jimmy Connors and John McEnroe in the 1982 Wimbledon men’s championship and the 1984 US Open semifinal.  Both were five set thrillers, but I did not start following tennis regularly until Boris Becker won Wimbledon in 1985.  French Open matches did not make much of an impression on me until 1987.  For that, I must thank Steffi Graf.

1987: Boredom with the Big Two

Chris Evert and Martina Navratilova staged a tight three set French Open final in 1986.  At 10 years of age, I was a bit bored by how frequently these two met in big matches.  I recall Steffi Graf pushing Navratiolva hard at the 1986 US Open and thinking this is who I will pull for in women’s tennis.  Graf beat Navratilova 6-3, 6-2 in Miami as she started 1987 off on a tear.  Graf moved to #2 in the rankings pitting Navratilova and Evert against one another in a semifinal rather than a final.  Navratilova beat Evert 6-2, 6-2 to reach the final while reversing two consecutive French Open championship losses to Evert.  Graf beat another new face in Gabriella Sabatini 6-4, 4-6, 7-5.  This set up a match that I hoped would usher in a new queen of women’s tennis and end the dual reigns of Martina and Evert.

Maybe Tiriac had it right – this video feed from the red clay and non-high definition cameras is awful

Half of my wish came true.  Graf won her first Grand Slam title by beating Navratilova 6-4, 4-6, 8-6.  Graf won in large part because of how error prone and nervy Navratilova was in that match.  Graf showed mental fortitude by winning a long third set against a great champion, but this was not a dethroning.  Martina would beat Steffi in straight sets to win both the 1987 Wimbledon and US Open titles.  It was exciting for me as a young fan to see my favorite player win her first major, but I feel a bit silly looking back at my disdain for the excellence that Navratilova and Evert displayed.  Then again I was 10 years old.

1988: Double Bagel

Steffi Graf won the 1988 Australian Open, but beat Evert instead of Navratilova in the final. Graf was ahead on computer points due to playing and winning far more events than her veteran rival, but it was still unclear as to who was the best player on the women’s tour.  Graf owned the #1 ranking and reigned in Melbourne and Paris.  Martina was the titleholder in London and New York.  Navratilova expected to win Paris and said as much.  Instead she was shocked by the former #1 junior player Natalia Zvereva.  The young Russian put off a Graf Navratilova showdown until Wimbledon 1988 by winning 6-3, 7-6. As shocking as the match was, Graf administered a career altering defeat of Zvereva by winning the championship match 6-0, 6-0 in 32 minutes.    Graf now had two legs of the Grand Slam under her belt and the debate about #1 was clearing up to a degree.  Her win over Martina in London one month later cleared up any doubts about who the #1 player in tennis was.

My memories of this final all revolve around how quick the match was.  I was elated to see Steffi win yet another slam.  Zvereva went on to become a highly decorated doubles champion, but this loss seemed to sap the joy out of singles for her for many years.  Zvereva saved two match points in her semifinal win and perhaps a big upset followed by a win and a close loss in the French Open semifinal round would have served her better than being demoralized by Graf who was quite invincible that day.

1989: No One Saw It Coming

Steffi Graf won the Golden Slam in 1988.  She opened 1989 with a convincing defense of her Australian Open title.  Some wondered if she would become bored with tennis due to her dominance.  If Graf was going to be beaten in 1989, people figured it would be her contemporary Gabriella Sabatini via a herculean effort.  This was not to be as Sabatini lost in the round of 16.  Graf played a youngster named Monica Seles in the semifinal round.  I remember in the first set thinking how ridiculous it was that Seles was trying to overpower Graf.  That strategy seemed about as wise as trying to drown the ocean.  Graf won the first set 6-3.  In the second set, the player hitting two-handed backhands and forehands (!) did knock Graf out of her comfort zone and took the set 6-3.  Steffi’s experience pulled her through in the third set with another 6-3 set.  Still, Seles looked like a champion to me.*

Challengers Arise

Graf faced Arantxa Sanchez-Vicario in the final.  Graf was taller, had more weapons and seemed like a lock.  Sanchez-Vicario kept running balls down.  NBC tape-delayed coverage foreshadowed the upset by saying Graf only makes headlines if she loses.  However in the age before widespread internet acces, I had no idea who won the match.  NBC showed the first set won surprisingly by the Spaniard 7-6.  NBC then did a quick summary of the second set won by Graf 6-3.  In the final set, I watched as Graf sprayed a number of errors against her never-say-die opponent.  I was both dismayed and shocked as Arantxa Sanchez-Vicario pulled one of the upsets of the decade in a 7-6, 3-6, 7-5 win over Steffi Graf.

Attacking the net helped the tireless retriever win the match

This match was not the end for Graf, but Seles attacked Graf’s slice with power.  Sanchez-Vicario made jaunts into the net off of Steffi’s backhand as well as drawing errors from her forehand.  There was now a book with several chapters on how to play against the invincible champion.  Steffi from 1987 through 1989 took me as a fan through a ride of challenging the powers that be, to becoming the lone power in women’s tennis and finally to being dethroned in Paris.  Graf would have to wait until 1993 to win the French Open again.  It was a great ride as a fan.  Steffi also provided a few more French Open memories that I will get to in the coming days.

Tyson losing to Douglas was a lot like Graf losing in this situation

* In early 1990 when everyone was hyping Jennifer Captiati, I kept thinking that Seles was the real story.

Masters Miami 2013 Final Prediction Murray vs. Ferrer

30 Mar

Linked Over the Past 52 Weeks

Andy Murray and David Ferrer had a pair of intense matches at the 2012 French Open and Wimbledon events.  Each man took a hard earned four set victory on his preferred surface.  Since that time, Murray has won an Olympic Gold Medal and a US Open title.  Ferrer led the tour in tournament victories in 2012 and won his first Masters 1000 crown.  Both have had some tough losses as well.  Novak Djokovic made Andy Murray into a three-time Australian Open runner-up.  Ferrer got smashed by Djokovic in Australia and by Nadal in Acapulco.  The winner will leave the first portion of 2013 with momentum.

Ferrer Deserves Credit

David Ferrer reached his first French Open semifinal in 2012 only to be crushed by Rafael Nadal.  He followed that with a grass court title, a victory over Andy Roddick on grass, and a tough Wimbledon quarterfinal loss to Andy Murray.  Ferrer reached the 2012 US Open and 2013 Australian Open semifinal rounds.   Novak Djokovic then laid a beating on Ferrer.  All David did was go win Buenos Aires and reach the final in Acapulco.  Once again he took a one-sided beating at the hands of one of his superiors on tour (this time Nadal).  All David has done is reach a Masters 1000 final in Miami.  Ferrer is undeterred by some harsh reminders that he lacks the weapons generally needed to claim tennis’ biggest prizes.  If he wins Miami, he’ll add that to his Paris title from 2012 and various Davis Cup victories.

Andy Murray is at Home

Miami is a training ground for Andy Murray.  He has played quite well at this Masters event.  Miami’s slow hard courts are ideally suited for his return game.  Murray won Miami in 2009 and was runner-up in 2012.  These factors would seemingly bode well for him versus Ferrer.  Murray has a 6-5 head-to-head  record versus Ferrer.  He is 5-1 on hard courts in their rivalry.  Still, the 2011 Australian Open semifinal went 4 sets, and Ferrer has had more success versus Murray than any of the other members of the big 4.  All of this leads me to predict a close victory for Murray.  I think Murray wins his second title in Miami 7-5, 7-5.

Masters Miami 2013: Semifinal Predictions

29 Mar

Predicted Winners in BOLD

Semifinals

Gasquet Posted a Huge QF Win

Andy Murray (2) vs. Richard Gasquet (8) – Gasquet is re-establishing himself in a big way, but I think Murray is going to win in an entertaining match.

Haas has Beaten Djokovic and Federer Over the Past 52 Weeks

David Ferrer (3) vs. Tommy Haas (15) – I picked against Haas twice, I won’t do it this time.  I think Haas can dictate play versus Ferrer is he is zoning, and he appears to be zoning.

Who Needs a 5th Major?

26 Mar

Four or Five or?

The Indian Wells-Miami section of the tour is a great stretch for tennis fans.  Most of the top players on the ATP and WTA play both events and great matches abound.  It also leads to talk of a “Fifth Major” status for one or the other event.  This talk is not limited to these two locales.  Many people claim the Italian Open or Masters Roma is the fifth major.  During Olympic years, the winner of the gold medal is often discussed as having won the fifth most important event of the year.  What about the World Tour Finals/Masters Cup/ATP World Championships/Masters held at the end of each season?  Is it the fifth most important tournament?  Doesn’t BNP Paribas, who now sponsors Indian Wells, also sponsor and have longer ties with the Bercy in the fall?  Is it then the fifth major?

Does Monte Carlo get Consideration or is it a Masters Emeritus?

Hypothetical Rules for a Permanent 5th Major Designation

  1. The World Tour Finals Despite Offering the Most Computer Points Outside of the Slams is a Different Animal so the WTF is not a Major 
  2. During Olympic Years – The Gold Medalist Holds the 5th Major
  3. During Non-Olympic Years the Tournament with the Best Draw, Best Amenities and Highest Prize Money is the 5th Major
  4. Ignore the Defunct Volvo International and WCT Finals in Dallas Having Once Been Prestigious
  5. Ignore the Growth of Tennis in Asia Despite China having 5th Major Potential

More Trouble than it is Worth

I’d rather listen to “A Fifth of Beethoven” than figure out what is the 5th most important tournament.  The Grand Slams have some normative status.  If a player, like the young Agassi, skipped Wimbledon for several years, it would still be Wimbledon.    Carlos Moya won the Masters Roma title in 2004 and won Masters Cincinnati in 2002.  Moya likely places his Rome title just below his 1998 Roland Garros title and Spain’s 2004 Davis Cup win.  Andy Roddick would likely value his Masters Miami, Canada and Cincinnati titles more than any clay court title outside of the French Open.  Views on the most important titles shift a great deal depending upon a player’s surface preference.

For better or worse, all four Grand Slams have importance that is a given at least since Pete Sampras made breaking Roy Emmerson’s record a public goal.   It is great that Indian Wells is voted as a player favorite venue right now, but that does not confer upon it an added quality to my mind.  It is a great tournament and should just work at staying that way.  Indianapolis was praised in John Feinstein’s book Hard Courts that chronicled the tour in 1990.*  Indianapolis was sponsored by RCA at that time, and players loved the event due to having access to virtual reality and other audio visual prototypes that RCA was developing.  Less than 25 years later, the Indianapolis Tennis Center is now gone, as in plowed under, and a basketball arena sits in its place.  So long as Indian Wells and Key Biscayne/Miami keep holding great tennis events and don’t get plowed under, I will be happy.

Better Days for Tennis in Indianapolis

* – Feinstein referred to Key Biscayne/Miami as the 5th major in 1990.  Therefore if  Indian Wells is now the 5th major, it stands to reason that this title is a short term distinction at best.

Masters Miami Predictions for 26 March 2013

26 Mar

Predicted Winners in BOLD

Fourth Round

Albert Ramos vs. Jurgen Melzer - I love Melzer, but I think the slow hard courts will benefit Ramos more.

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Tommy Haas (15) – Nole should win, but Tommy Haas’ resurgence has been a nice story over the past 15 months.

Andy Murray (2) vs. Andreas Seppi (16) – Murray will win in one of his adopted home towns.

David Ferrer (3) vs. Kei Nishikori (13)

Tomas Berdych (4) vs. Sam Querrey (17) – Big man tennis here, but Berdych just has more game.  His backhand and return game are better than Querrey’s.

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (6) vs. Marin Cilic (9) – The Croatian pulls off a mild upset.

Janko Tipsarevic (7) vs. Gilles Simon (11) – Simon is sneaky good and Tipsy has struggled in recent months.

Richard Gasquet (8) vs. Nicolas Almagro (10) – This is a 50-50 match, but the court speed favors Almagro’s game.

Blue Clay Angst is a Sad Moment for Tennis

14 May

Counter Factual Time

Imagine the organizers at the Key Biscayne event announcing, “Because we are the last event before the European clay court season starts, we will be changing our tournament from a hard court event to a green clay event as a transition to softer courts.”  Would the same players be up in arms about such a change that were fretting over Madrid’s blue dirt?  My guess is NO!  However, Key Biscayne has been a staple of pro tennis since it began in 1985.  It has been on a hard court for over twenty-five years.  Doesn’t tradition mean anything?  Key Biscayne has far more tradition than does Madrid.  Would there be outrage if such a change was made unilaterally by the tournament owners and sponsors?

No, the players who complained so vociferously about blue clay would welcome Key Biscayne switching to green clay or even blue clay because the softer court would be easier on their joints as well as adding a fourth Masters 1000 event 0n a soft court.  So what gives?

The Rebirth of Tennis Stereotypes

In the late 1980′s it was fashionable to portray tennis players as temperamental, self-absorbed people who lacked perspective.  It took a long time to shed this stereotype.  Andre Agassi’s school, Carlos Moya donating all of his 2004 title earnings in India to tsunami relief, the first Hit for Haiti, the exhibitions for Australian flood relief and for Chile have all recast professional tennis players as some of the most in touch global sports figures.

That is what is so disappointing about the court color controversy.  Rafael Nadal’s foundation and joy at the 2010 Hit for Haiti demonstrate that Rafa is a good guy with perspective.  Novak Djokovic’s 60 Minutes interview this year helped casual fans see what being raised during a civil war means.

These guys generally get it.  Yet, on this issue the hyperbolic criticism became a story with legs.  Each player threatened never to return.  If the blue clay were injuring players at the rate of Australia’s old rebound ace surface, I could see the consternation.  However, as Jon Wertheim pointed out, the conditions at Monte Carlo were not particularly conducive to player safety and no high profile complaints were lodged.  Wertheim also rightly points out that the worst clay court is easier on a player’s body than the best hard court (emphasis added).

I think a player is within his rights to say that he does not like a particular change.  However, to become apoplectic over a change of this nature sends the wrong message to fans.  Many of us are working hard to earn a decent living.  To hear players who are multimillionaires complaining about safety issues that are in reality non-issues just knocks a little luster off of two champions with otherwise good public profiles.  I hope to see a return of the ambassadors that Rafa and Nole can be for the sport.

Assessing 2012 To This Point

5 Apr

ATP Overview – Novak’s World

Djokovic is still dominating

  1. Novak Djokovic is indeed still the man in the world of tennis.  His 60 Minutes interview helped introduce him to a broader audience.  He does not have the win-loss record he had at this point in 2011, but Novak has won the biggest event of 2012 and won one of the two other big tournaments of the year.  Also, Novak’s win over Andy Murray in Miami dispels any notions that Murray’s near miss in Australia and win in Dubai signal a change in the landscape of tennis.
  2. Roger Federer is alive and kicking.  Winning Indian Wells, Dubai and Rotterdam demonstrate that Roger can still string together great events.  Indian Wells and Dubai are two of the four biggest events of the year to this point.  Roger has to feel like he could win one of the next three slams.
  3. Andy Murray is still not on par with the three people ahead of him.  Near misses have to take a toll on Murray’s confidence.  I am not sure how he can look at his play in Melbourne, Dubai and Miami and not feel frustrated.  Still, I think Lendl is helping Murray.  As a friend recently stated, Murray just needs to stay sharp and be ready.  At some point, maybe a draw opens up or a player’s form dips.  If Murray is ready to capitalize, he can win.
  4. Nadal is a mystery.  Rafa has played well enough in 2012 to expect him to continue to be Nole’s top rival, but withdrawing from Miami and dropping off of the ATP council just seem odd.
  5. A legitimate fifth top tier contender has yet to emerge.  Milos Raonic has two titles and had one runner-up finish in 2012, but he’s been banged up and not yet won against top competition.  Juan Martin del Potro looks like a top 10 player, but his four losses to Federer and loss to fifth ranked David Ferrer tell me Delpo still needs to traverse a gulf to contend for slams again.  David Ferrer has played well in 2012.  He just lacks the weapons to be on the level of the top four.  Finally, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga ended 2011 on an upward trend and won Qatar to start 2012.  Since then, he’s been at best sadly uneven.

WTA – Vika’s Rise, Kvitova’s Malaise and Maria’s Near Misses

WTA Execs would like to see more of the above in 2012

  1. Victoria Azarenka has banked a lot of momentum and computer points.  I think Azarenka will finish 2012 number one and likely win a second major before the year ends.
  2. Petra Kvitova has not maintained the level of play that led to her strong finish from 2011.  The WTA needs Azarenka, Kvitova, and maybe Wozniacki to produce big stories in the next few years.  WTA executives would feel better if these big stories started now and not in 2013 or 2014.
  3. Maria Sharapova is struggling to close out events.  In one sense, Maria has had a great 2012.  She has been more consistent than anyone other than Victoria Azarenka.  She has backed up her number two ranking.  However, she has not come close to looking like anything other than second best.  Even when she served well Sharapova lost the Sony Ericsson final in straight sets.  Asking what could have been too many times is not good for a player’s mind.

Power Rankings for April 1 – April 6

2 Apr

Dan Martin’s 2012 Power Rankings for the

Week of April 1 through April 6

1.  Novak Djokovic – Novak is clearly the number one player in the world.  I should not have picked against him in the Sony Ericsson final.

2.  Roger Federer – Fed’s titles in Dubai, Rotterdam and Indian Wells have him holding the number two spot, but had Rafa not pulled out injured I think a loss to Roddick would drop Roger.

3. Rafael Nadal – An Australian Open runner-up finish and semifinal finishes in Indian Wells and Miami are solid, but how healthy is Rafa?

4.  Andy Murray – How much can Andy’s psyche take.  Near misses have to be undermining his confidence.  Still, he reached the final in Miami.  Change from last week + 1.

5.  David Ferrer – Ferrer has played great tennis in 2012.  Change from last week +1.

6. Juan Martin del Potro – Delpo reached the quarters in Miami, but losing to Ferrer gives David the leg up this week.  Change from last week -2.

7.  Nicolas Almagro – Almagro is playing well enough to hold his spot.

8. John Isner – He has no points to defend until Newport so John needs to let it fly on clay.

9.  Juan Monaco -If Monaco gets a favorable draw or at least a manageable draw, I think he will be in the final eight at the 2012 French Open.

10.  Jo-Wilfried Tsonga –Hanging in there based on his title in Qatar.  Change from last week – 1.

Dropped Out – Milos Raonic – He has two titles and one runner-up in 2012, but the injury bug is troubling.

Sony Ericsson/Miami ATP Final – Djokovic vs. Murray Prediction

1 Apr

Pain

That was Ivan Lendl’s pre-match predictive description of Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray’s Australian Open semifinal match.  Two of the top returners on tour clashing.  Two of the fastest men on tour doing battle.  This should be a match with a lot of breaks of serve and long points.  In short, pain is the best description for what this match will involve just as it was at the Australian Open.

  • Each man has beaten the other in 2012.
  • Murray has had two walkovers in this event and may not be as match tough.
  • A Djokovic win combined with his Australian Open title gives Nole the inside track for finishing 2012 number one.
  • A Murray win combined with his win in Dubai and near miss in Melbourne gives Murray momentum to finally breakthrough at a major this year.

My Pick – I think Andy Murray wins in three sets.  Call it an unreasonable faith in Ivan Lendl, but I think Murray has absorbed enough from Lendl already to beat Nole in a baseline war of attrition.  In a slam, I’d likely still pick Nole because until Murray wins a major his history of tightening up in the biggest stages must be considered.  In Miami, I think Murray wins a painful three set tilt.

 

Who Will Win Djokovic vs. Murray at the Sony Ericsson 2012? (Poll)

31 Mar

Round 1 to Djokovic

Round 2 to Murray

Round 3?

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