Tag Archives: Predictions

Australian Open Sweet 16: Men’s Predictions

21 Jan

As much as I love the early rounds of Grand Slams, the matches that lay ahead of us all look to be of a high quality.   Grand Slam events are set up a lot like the NCAA college basketball tournament.  Rather than wait for a sweet 16 in March, we have one in January.  I was 5-2 with my picks yesterday so I decided to take a crack at the next 8 matches.

Men’s Picks (My projected winners in bold)

1 Novak Djokovic vs. Lleyton Hewitt – I expect Novak to win in 3 sets, but Lleyton could make this close.  After 5 surgeries in 4 years, Hewitt deserves a ton of credit for getting back to a Grand Slam round of 16.

17 Richard Gasquet vs. 5 David Ferrer – I am tempted to pick Gasquet as he has weapons and flare.  I thought Janko Tipsarevic would beat him, but I think Ferrer is unlikely to no show like Tipsarevic was and on a slower court I think Ferrer wins in a close match.

4 Andy Murray vs. Mikhail Kukushkin – Prior to hiring Ivan Lendl this might have been an upset special.  Kukushkin is a solid player who won’t beat himself, but Murray in 3 or 4 is my call.

24 Kei Nishikori vs. 6 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga – I’d love to pick Nishikori here as he has a great game, but Tsonga since Queen’s Club 2011 has been close to cracking into the elite ranks of the sport.  Tsonga winning Qatar in addition to being runner-up at the Word Tour Finals makes me pick Tsonga in 4.

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs. 11 Juan Martin del Potro – Delpo is my second favorite player as a fan, but I don’t see Juan Martin del Potro  playing quite at the level he needs to.  Kohlschreiber has a great deal of variety in his game abd can keep the ball low.  That will be enough to win a close match.

Bernard Tomic vs. 3 Roger Federer – I think Tomic actually has a 30-35% chance to win this match.  His game is subtle.  If he can keep Roger off balance enough and get some good Aussie vibes going, Tomic has a chance.  Still, Roger Federer should win in 3 or 4 sets.

7 Tomas Berdych vs. 10 Nicolas Almagro – This is a huge opportunity for both players.  Berdych had a breakout year in 2010, and played well everywhere except for the Grand Slams in 2011.  He has been solid to this point in the event and might present Nadal a tough quarterfinal opponent.

18 Feliciano Lopez vs. 2 Rafael Nadal – Nadal wins easily.  I just can’t see Lopez getting enough quality returns in play to break Nadal.  Rafa will beat up his backhand.  Lopez will have to serve huge to make this interesting.  I just can’t see that happening for more than 1 set.

My Women’s Picks Will Be Coming Up Once the Quarterfinal Round Occurs – I do pick Kim Clijsters to beat Na Li again.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 895 other followers