Predicted Winner in BOLD

Singles – Semifinal

[3] A Murray (GBR) v [2] R Federer (SUI)

This match is a hard one for me to predict as I can see plausible scenarios for a one-sided result for either man, for a semi-routine four set win for each man, and for a five set thriller.  I do not think Roger going 5 sets will be a factor as he had a day off and played Tsonga in a night match.  I do think the surface favors Murray slightly so I am picking him.  If Murray can get into Federer’s service games and threaten to break serve often, I believe he has a slight edge on paper.  I know Federer beat Murray in 2010 on this surface in straight sets.  Andy Murray is playing better than he was in 2010, but I do not feel that Roger is playing worse than he did in 2010.  Federer has never lost to Murray in a Grand Slam match.  In fact, he has won 9 out of 10 sets in Grand Slam play versus Murray.  Based on history, I think Roger has an edge.  Based on surface speed and Murray’s return game, I think Murray has an edge.  I am torn.  Flip a coin and enjoy the match.