When will Rafa be fully back?  Points like this say his best form may be close

Rafael Nadal vs. Juan Monaco

I’d be a fool to say Nadal is not the favorite in this match.  I still don’t think it will be easy.  Monaco is a true pro in terms of his preparation, willingness to complete, and his conditioning.  Rafa does not yet look like he has hit his clay court stride.  Rafa dropped a set in the Rio quarters and then lost a lead in the semis.  Today versus Carlos Berlocq, Rafa saved 5 set points to win the first set and came from an early break down to win the second set.  Rafa’s comeback in the first set and winning the final 6 games of the second set might have him feeling like his old self.  Still, if Rafa plays at his current level, I think this match will at least be taxing for Rafa as Monaco is a stout competitor.  Monaco, an Argentine, is playing in front of a Buenos Aires crowd and is unhappy with Argentina’s Davis Cup situation.  Winning versus the King of Clay would send a strong message to his fans and to the Argentine Davis Cup leadership.

My Prediction: Rafal Nadal d. Juan Monaco 3-6, 6-2, 6-3