Predictions for Moscow, Stockholm, and Vienna Championship Matches

Kremlin Cup Final – Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Marin Cilic 

Bautista Agut has played quite well in 2014 and is in 14th place in the year long points race.  Marin Cilic had been similarly solid in 2014 prior to his dominating US Open title run.  Cilic reaching the final in Moscow makes me think some of the post US Open haze is lifting, and he is getting back to business.  I think the indoor conditions favor Cilic.

My prediction: Marin Cilic d. Roberto Bautista Agut 7-5, 6-3

If Stockholm Open Final – Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Berdych

Grigor Dimitrov won his first career title last year in Stockholm.  His defense has been admirable and a good sign given that his US Open and Shanghai performances were not jaw dropping.  Grigor is also the lowest ranked member of the Race to London, occupying the 11th slot, with a realistic chance of reaching London.  Tomas Berdych has been quite consistent in 2014.  A title here would draw Berdych closer to Kei Nishikori in the points standings.   On balance, I think Berdych has been more solid in recent weeks, but I think Grigor will clip him in a close match.

My prediction: Grigor Dimitrov d. Tomas Berdych 7-6, 3-6, 6-4

Erste Bank Open Final (Vienna) – David Ferrer vs. Andy Murray

While the Kremlin Cup has the coolest name of these three events, this championship match has the most heft. Andy Murray and David Ferrer have spent most of the past 4 years ranked in or near the top 5.  Both men are fighting to finish in the top 8 in 2014 and the winner of this match will hold the 8th spot on Monday.  Ferrer beat Murray in Shanghai.  I don’t think that result will repeat itself one week later.

My prediction: Andy Murray d. David Ferrer 6-4, 6-4

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