World Tour Finals 2014: Federer vs. Murray Prediction

Roger Federer vs. Andy Murray

I am not sure what to think about this match.  Roger has looked razor sharp in his first two wins.  He also has beaten Murray both times they have played in 2014 (winning 5 of 6 sets).  Murray has won 3 titles since the US Open concluded and needs a win versus Federer to optimize his chances at reaching the semifinal round.  Roger may not qualify, but once the Nishikori-Raonic match is in the books, Roger’s path to the semifinal round will be clear if not nearly settled.  They have met 22 times, and each man holds 11 wins.  Roger has inflicted painful losses on Murray in US Open, Australian Open and Wimbledon championship matches.  Murray throttled Roger in the gold medal round of the London Olympics and beat Roger in a 2013 Australian Open semifinal match.  Roger returned the favor in a 2014 Australian Open quarterfinal match.  While Murray has posted several one-sided wins versus Federer, I think Federer always believes if he plays his game (and takes care of his serve) that he has a great chance to defeat Murray.  Edberg instilling more forward movement tilts my prediction even if Murray is playing his best tennis since Wimbledon 2013.

My prediction: Roger Federer d. Andy Murray 6-4, 6-4

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