— Tennis daily post (@epeaktennis) August 13, 2016
Rafael Nadal vs. Juan Martin del Potro
Rafa had a tough singles win followed by a long and emotional doubles win. The big question is whether or not Rafa is drained/tired heading into this match? I think if Rafa is close to 100% he is favored in this match. JMDP has played quite well to reach the semifinal round including his upset win in round 1 over Novak Djokovic. JMDP has matched up well with Rafa in the past and should handle high bounces well. Still, Rafa seems to be in a good place so long as he is not worn out from playing 6 total sets of tennis on Friday.
My Prediction: Rafael Nadal d. Juan Martin del Potro 7-6, 6-4
Level of confidence in my pick – moderate
Their Davis Cup match earlier this year was on a much faster court
Andy Murray vs. Kei Nishikori
Each man needed a 3rd set tiebreak to reach the semifinal round. Kei Nishikori fended off Gael Monfils and two match points in winning 7-6, 4-6, 7-6. Murray defeated Steve Johnson by the strange scoreline of 6-0, 4-6, 7-6. I think Murray should win this match, but he better take care of his second serve points. Nishikori’s return matching up to a low first serve percentage from Murray would be a comparative advantage for the underdog. I think Murray’s form will improve since he is closer to the finish line. Murray had a relatively soft draw and expectations were on his shoulders. Now, he faces a top 10 opponent and is one match away from winning either gold or silver. I think that will help Murray settle into his desired form.
My Prediction: Andy Murray d. Kei Nishikori 6-4, 6-3