French Open 2017: Andy Murray vs. Stan Wawrinka Prediction

They meet again in the same spot.  Will the result be the same?  

 

Andy Murray (GBR) [1] vs. Stan Wawrinka (SUI) [3]

This is a hard match to predict.  The world #1 is playing his best clay court tennis since Roland Garros 2016.  Stan Wawrinka is the 2015 champion and seems to be in one of his well-timed peaks.  Murray won Rome and was runner-up in Madrid in 2016 prior to Roland Garros.  Stand won Geneva in both 2016 and 2017 entering Roland Garros, but this time around that seems like a greater advantage as Murray entered Roland Garros 2017 with no momentum.  Does any of that matter after 5 wins by each player?  Probably not.

I think Stan’s highest level of play is slightly higher than Murray’s because Stan tends to dictate play.  However, if both men as slightly off their best, I think Murray’s near best is better than Stan’s near best.  If they are both playing at an average level, I again like Murray’s game a bit more.  So the whole question for me comes down to how well Stan Wawrinka plays.  Murray’s average and near best levels are enough to pressure Wawrinka.   Pressure does not equate to victory though.  Wawrinka could play at his near best if Murray is average and win and as I said, I think zoning Wawrinka beats Murray.  Wawrinka knows what it is like to hold the big trophy at the end of this event and perhaps sees a light at the end of the tunnel.  I am torn.  On paper, I favor Murray ever so slightly.  On the court in 2017 at their current levels, I lean a bit toward Wawrinka.  This is close to a 50-50 match.  However, I run a website and get a lot of impressions based on my predictions so here goes.

Stan Wawrinka d. Andy Murray 6-4, 6-7, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4

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