Dubai 2015: Djokovic vs. Federer Prediction

A worthy sequel in 2015?

The Dubai event always draws in a great field and when the draw holds up a tremendous final is in the offing.  This year is no exception.  Federer and Djokovic each won a title in Australia to start their seasons. Of course, Djokovic’s Australian Open is significantly more coveted than Federer’s Brisbane title. Federer’s straight set ride to the final round in Dubai is an important brushback to any notions that his early Aussie Open loss meant that his season and career were headed toward a poor finish.  Djokovic has yet to lose a match in 2015.  Therefore, the world #1 will be favored on paper against the defending champion and world #2 in Dubai.

The question is who wins?  Each man knows the other’s game quite well.  Federer’s serve, slice backhand, and ability to steal a few points at the net can throw Nole off of his game.  Federer’s forehand is still lethal. Novak is the top player in tennis and has created a lot of breathing room between himself and the field.  A Federer win might shrink Novak’s lead in terms of momentum even if Nole is going to add computer points regardless of the championship result.  If Novak is returning well and moving well, he can make the match difficult for Federer.  I think Novak’s serve will be strong enough to allow his return game to eventually take control of this match.

My Prediction: Novak Djokovic d. Roger Federer 7-5, 7-5

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