Indian Wells 2015: Federer vs. Djokovic Championship Prediction

Roger Federer vs. Novak Djokovic 

World #2 Roger Federer defeated World #1 Novak Djokovic in Dubai to edge ahead 20-17 in their head-to-head series.  Each man has only lost 1 match in 2015.  This is the match that the tournament organizers were hoping for as it has a bit of everything.  Novak, in my view, is poised to have his best year since 2011.  He has controlled Murray in recent meetings.  Nadal has struggled putting a full season together.  Roger Federer, while 33, seems to be his largest obstacle on tour.  A win by Federer today might be the start of a trend that could impede Nole’s 2015 campaign.  Conversely, a win by Nole would put their record at 1-1 for 2015 and set up future clashes.

To be clear, Novak is the clear world #1 whether he wins or loses today, but a win over Federer would help Novak to increase his domination of the tour.  Roger Federer seems to be enjoying his status as the leader of the 30+ brigade who are playing so well.  Roger’s style of play forces the issue against Djokovic in a manner most players on tour cannot muster.

In 2014, Federer beat Djokovic in the Dubai semifinal round only to have Nole defeat him in the Indian Wells championship.  I think 2015 may follow a similar script.  Roger will try to attack Novak judiciously, but Nole’s return game and elastic defensive skills will be enough to make this rivalry more interesting still.

My Prediction: Novak Djokovic d. Roger Federer 6-4, 3-6, 6-4

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