Paris Masters 2015: Championship Prediction – Murray vs. Djokovic

Andy Murray vs. Novak Djokovic

Novak as Grandmaster (I promise not to overuse chess analogies)

Novak Djokovic has accomplished something pretty amazing.  He reached all four major finals in 2015 posting a 3-1 record in those events.  He also has reached the championship match of all 8 Masters 1000 events he entered.  Aside from skipping Madrid, Novak was champion or runner-up at 12 of the 13 biggest events held in 2015 to this point.  Novak is 5-2 in Masters 1000 finals this year with one more to play.  One of those two losses came in Montreal versus Andy Murray.  This sets up a fun #1 vs. #2 final.

One of my Favorite Rivalries

I really enjoy watching Murray and Djokovic play.  They are quite similar in many respects and some fans wish for more contrasting styles.  Still, I like to see two of the best two-handed backhands, two of the fastest players on tour, and two of the best return men play.  As similar as they are, difference do exist.  Novak has a better second serve and is less likely to try an odd shot.  Murray has better hands at the net, although Nole’s net game has improved under Becker, and Murray has a bigger first serve.  Novak has an edge in their matches and this has been the case ever since the 2011 Australian Open final.  Still, Murray has landed some big victories over Novak.

My Prediction

If Novak is as sharp as he was in Shanghai, Murray has little chance at winning.  I am not sure that is the case.  Andy has played quite well in Paris.  I think this match will be close, but in close situations I tend to favor the world #1.

Novak Djokovic d. Andy Murray 7-6, 6-4

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