Wimbledon 2017: Roger Federer vs. Tomas Berdych Semifinal Prediction


Roger Federer vs. Tomas Berdych

Roger Federer leads his head-to-head with Tomas Berdych 18-6.  This gives Federer wins in 75% of their matches played.  On grass, Federer leads 2-1 (1-1 at Wimbledon and 1-0 at Halle).  In majors, Federer leads 6-2.  Federer has won 7 consecutive matches versus Berdych.  In those 7 wins, Federer has only surrendered 2 sets while winning 16 sets.  Where does Berdych begin if he wants positive vibes heading into this match?


He did win their most recent Wimbledon match, but that was in 2010.  He did nearly beat Federer in Miami this year.  That seems like a better starting point.  Berdych can bully Federer on court if Federer cannot slice his backhand well as well as take care of his own serve.  If Federer takes care of his serve, scrambles well, and slices well, Berdych struggles in this match-up.

Neither player is going to spring something new on his opponent after 24 previous career meetings.  If Berdych wins, he will win via first strike tennis and will keep Federer on his heels with big returns and powerful serves.  These first strikes will leave Berdych with makeable shots to conclude rallies.  If Federer wins, he will use superior variety and movement to neutralize Berdych’s striking while also serving well.  I think the latter is more likely.

Roger Federer d. Tomas Berdych 6-4, 6-4, 7-6



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