Confession
I am a fan of tennis as well as an observer. During the US Open last year, it dawned on me that Djokovic vs. Murray was my favorite match-up of the Big Four. My reason is that I like the type of points they play against each other, and I love their ability to break back and rally in a given set. They are not clones. Murray has a bit more feel, and Novak is better on the forehand wing. However, they are both so quick that no point or lead seems safe. It is just an enjoyable match-up from my perspective.
2014: 4-0 or 0-4
Murray won several big matches versus Novak Djokovic in 2012 and 2013. He won an Olympic semifinal match that helped Murray claim gold and combined with a loss to Delpo pushed Novak out of winning a medal. Murray won is first Grand Slam title defeating Novak in 5 sets at the 2012 US Open final. He then won Wimbledon in 2013 delighting the UK. Murray entered 2014 coming off of back surgery. In 2014, Djokovic won 4 matches vs. Murray winning 9 of 10 sets they played. I do think recent history can impact both players’ confidence level. Murray has to feel like his 6-0, 6-1 loss to Roger Federer in London was an eternity ago. Djokovic however will be confident heading into this match because of his recent dominance versus Murray. Djokovic is always a hard opponent, but when he is confident he can be nearly unbeatable (see 2011).
What to Expect
Since both men play in a similar manner, I don’t think either will mind if their preferred style of play and preferred patterns prevail. So expect each player to test the other’s second serve, movement, and nerve. There should be a lot of points in which a player seems to be on the defensive only to use great speed to reverse the momentum of the rally. I do think Novak will also test Murray’s forehand and attempt to be positioned closer to the baseline than Murray. That may be the key to the match. Can Novak establish a slightly better court positioning than Murray? If so, Djokovic will probably win. If not, Murray may win in his 4th trip to the final. Djokovic has a chance to give himself the best possible chance in another campaign to end a year ranked #1. Andy Murray can win a 3rd major and perhaps set himself up to make an assault on the top ranking and achieve #1 for the first time in his career later this year. This should be a great match between two future hall of fame players.
My Prediction: Novak Djokovic d. Andy Murray 6-3, 4-6, 7-5, 6-4
I agree. I think Novak will win this based on 4-0 and h2h
He controlled Murray over the past 12 months so that should help his mentality
hope you’re right dan, but am very nervous. feel like all signs are pointing to an andy win. that could be my paranoia / pessimism. but it’s just how it feels. i hope no matter what that nole plays much better than in the semis!! :O
Here are the picks by various players
http://www.atpworldtour.com/Media/Video-Landing.aspx?/*/Tennis/Media/Videos/Uploaded/2015/1/31/Melbourne%202015%20Final%20Preview%20Djokovic%20Murray
thanks for sharing django
I think andy will win wimb or Uso not both
I think he has a mental hurdle or two to clear, but he is playing good tennis and can win either or both event(s).